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Heathrow third runway GDP yield may be 90% less than original estimate

Department for Transport analysis suggests 0.05% boost will be offset by overall negative trade-off

The economic boost from a Heathrow third runway could be a tiny fraction of previous estimates, new government analysis shows, while the overall trade-off from the bigger airport could set the UK back by as much £62.5bn.

As ministers promised to speed up expansion of the London airport in the name of economic growth, documents prepared by the Department for Transport said the runway was expected to boost GDP by only up to 0.05% – 90% less than the 0.5% previously stated.

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Jun 19, 2026 Heathrow airport Heathrow third runway Air transport

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